tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-988599552908585128.post1796734881005450269..comments2023-10-16T01:09:58.286-07:00Comments on BC Iconoclast: What if the Angus Reid Strategy Numbers are right?Bernardhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-988599552908585128.post-6046441050552498242009-04-30T20:23:00.000-07:002009-04-30T20:23:00.000-07:00The fallacy with your analysis is that you assume ...The fallacy with your analysis is that you assume that the 1996 election being fought on 1986 boundaries was more out of whack with an even distribution of voters than the 2009/2008 version. That is simply not so. The Liberals opted, for reasons that escape everyone, to redistrict boundaries and allow for numerous small ridings in the far north and Kootenays, some of which are only 1/3 the voters of the largest ridings. Things are more uneven now than they were in 1996.<br />Further, as all analyses of what they did conclude, they have bulked up Liberal votes in a minority of ridings, leaving a majority of ridings competitive with the NDP. So the 1996 scenario is entirely plausible.<br />Will it happen? Who knows at this stage. But one need only look at the swath of ridings from the Premier's own in Vancouver Point Grey across to Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge through to Mission, across the Fraser River in Surrey and even the two Delta ridings to know that this election will be decided in the suburbs of Vancouver -- all of which are closely fought.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com