tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-988599552908585128.post4703647213669044019..comments2023-10-16T01:09:58.286-07:00Comments on BC Iconoclast: EKOS now polling BC provincial political opinionBernardhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-988599552908585128.post-78194438785294830102013-02-17T13:34:07.522-08:002013-02-17T13:34:07.522-08:00This is something I have tried to work out the imp...This is something I have tried to work out the impact of. At the moment all pollsters assume that 100% of the public answering is telling the truth because they have no mechanism to determine who is telling the truth and who is not.<br /><br />This a source of error in polling that is not accounted for. When polls are reported we should hear about three different margins of error<br /><br />The Statistical margin of error - this is the one tha tis reported and frankly the least relevant to the results in many ways. Better would be if all the results were published as graphs with bell curves of the results.<br />Rounding error - rounding to the nearest whole number adds a +-0.5 pp error to each result<br />Methodological errors - this has to be estimated but it would include people that lie, problems with the survey process, bias in the survey, impact of weighting and more. I think this alone could be as high as +-6 pp i nmost polling in CanadaBernardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15951619465188564252noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-988599552908585128.post-87144100676267297262013-02-17T04:55:32.691-08:002013-02-17T04:55:32.691-08:00I lie my way through polls and so do a lot of othe...I lie my way through polls and so do a lot of other people.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com