New Federal Polls - New Seat Projection

Nanos and Harris Decima both have new polls out. Both polls surveyed about 1000 people meaning the regional break out numbers are suspect.

The the only Nanos regional numbers that are useful for the model are those from Quebec and Ontario. The Quebec numbers indicate a continued decline for the BQ, but more strength for the Liberals. The Ontario numbers show more NDP and Liberal strength.

Plugging these new numbers in we get the folllowing:

• Conservatives 139
• Liberals 112
• BQ 36
• NDP 20
• Ind 1