- Election Lib+NDP Lib-NDP
- 2008 44.44 8.08
- 2006 47.71 12.75
- 2004 52.41 21.05
- 2000 49.36 32.34
- 1997 49.51 27.41
- 1993 48.12 34.36
- 1988 52.30 11.54
- 1984 46.83 9.21
- 1980 64.11 24.57
- 1979 57.99 22.23
- 1974 58.59 27.71
- 1972 56.25 20.59
- 1968 62.33 28.41
- 1965 58.09 22.27
- 1963 54.76 28.28
- 1962 50.54 23.40 NDP ran in 218 of 265 seats
Before the 1962 election the CCF did not run full slates.
So what trends can I see?
- From Diefenbaker to Mulroney the Liberals lead the NDP by at least 20 points and the two combined topped 50% in each election and 60% twice
- Since the 1984 election, the two elections where the combined NDP and Liberal vote exceeded 50% were in 1988, the best result in seats for the NDP, and 2004 when Jack Layton dramatically increased the NDP vote.
- The margin between in the Liberals and NDP was smallest in 1984, 1988, 2006, and 2008. All of them elections won by the Conservatives.
- In 16 elections, Three of the six closest results between the NDP and Liberals have been since Jack Layton has been leader.
- In 16 elections, three of the five widest margins between the Liberals and NDP were during the interregnum between Broadbent and Layton
So what does this all say to me? I am not sure yet, thoughts, comments?
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