I have decided to create these tables because the results of the CCF/NDP do change over time. I did not go back before 1956 because a different electoral system was used in 1952 and 1953 and you can not compare results to those elections in percentage terms.
Ranked by margin of victory - NDP governments in bold
Election Pct Leader Margin
1972 39.59% Barrett +8.43 29.07% Liberal and PC
1991 40.71% Harcourt +7.46 24.05% Social Credit
1979 45.99% Barrett -2.24
1996 39.45% Clark -2.37 15.01% Reform and PDA
2009 42.15% James -3.67
2013 39.71% Dix -4.43
1983 44.94% Barrett -4.82
2005 41.52% James -4.82
1960 32.73% Strachan -6.10 27.62% Liberal and PC
1986 42.60% Skelly -6.72
1975 39.16% Barrett -10.09
1966 33.62% Strachan -11.97 20.24% Liberal
1969 33.92% Berger -12.87 19.03% Liberal
1963 27.80% Strachan -13.03 31.25% Liberal and PC
1956 28.32% Strachan -17.52 21.77% Liberal
2001 21.56% Dosanjh -36.06
Purple is 1956-1969 - 5 elections
Red is 1972-1986 5 elections
Blue is 1991-2001 3 elections
Black is 2005-2013 3 elections
Ranked by percentage of the vote
Election Pct Leader Margin
1979 45.99% Barrett -2.24
1983 44.94% Barrett -4.82
1986 42.60% Skelly -6.72
2009 42.15% James -3.67
2005 41.52% James -4.82
1991 40.71% Harcourt +7.46
2013 39.71% Dix -4.43
1972 39.59% Barrett +8.43
1996 39.45% Clark -2.37
1975 39.16% Barrett -10.09
1969 33.92% Berger -12.87
1966 33.62% Strachan -11.97
1960 32.73% Strachan -6.10
1956 28.32% Strachan -17.52
1963 27.80% Strachan -13.03
2001 21.56% Dosanjh -36.06
The NDP of the 1950s and 1960s was no where close to threatening to win the elections. They only broke 1/3 of the vote in 1969 and came no closer than -6.10 percentage points. These five elections had a Liberal party that took around 20% of the vote and in two of them the PCs seriously tried. WAC Bennett benefited from a strong third party in this era
The NDP of the 1970s and 1980s were much more successful for the NDP. They won one election, and that by their largest margin of 8.43 percentage points in 1972 and in 1979 had their closest loss. These five races had the elections becoming more and more two party races. In 1972 the NDP and Socreds took 70.75% but in the next four the two parties took between 88.41% and 94.70% of the vote.
1991 and 1996 see BC politics go back to having significant third parties
2005 to 2013 the elections have the main two parties take between 83.85% and 87.97% of the vote. Not as high as during the peak of the two party era of the 70s and 80s, but higher than the multi party era of the 90s.
So what will the next election bring?
No comments:
Post a Comment