Riding by Riding Prediction

The end result of this is

• Liberals 49
• NDP 21
• Uncertain 15

If the uncertain ones split evenly, this leaves us at:

• Liberals 57
• NDP 28

When looking at the polling numbers and not individual ridings, I end up with more Liberal seats. When factoring details of the ridings, the rising Liberal tide does not sink as many New Democrats.

Safe Liberal Seats

1. Abbotsford South
2. Abbotsford West
3. Abbotsford-Mission
4. Burnaby-Deer Lake
5. Chilliwack
6. Chilliwack-Hope
7. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
8. Fort Langley-Aldergrove
9. Kamloops-South Thompson
10. Kelowna-Lake Country
11. Kelowna-Mission
12. Langley
13. Nechako Lakes
14. North Vancouver-Lonsdale
15. North Vancouver-Seymour
16. Oak Bay-Gordon Head
17. Parksville-Qualicum
18. Peace River North
19. Peace River South
20. Prince George-Mackenzie
21. Prince George-Valemount
22. Richmond Centre
23. Richmond East
24. Richmond-Steveston
25. Saanich North and the Islands
26. Shuswap
27. Surrey-Cloverdale
28. Surrey-Panorama
29. Surrey-Tynehead
30. Surrey-White Rock
31. Vancouver-False Creek
32. Vancouver-Langara
33. Vancouver-Point Grey
34. Vancouver-Quilchena
35. Vernon-Monashee
36. West Vancouver-Capilano
37. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
38. Westside-Kelowna

Probable Liberal Seats

1. Boundary-Similkameen
2. Burnaby North
3. Burnaby-Lougheed
4. Comox Valley
5. Delta South
6. Kamloops-North Thompson
7. Kootenay East
8. Penticton
9. Port Moody-Coquitlam
10. Saanich South
11. Vancouver-Fraserview

Safe NDP Seats

1. Alberni-Pacific Rim
2. Columbia River-Revelstoke
3. Juan de Fuca
4. Kootenay West
5. Nanaimo-North Cowichan
6. Nelson-Creston
7. New Westminster
8. Powell River-Sunshine Coast
9. Surrey-Green Timbers
10. Surrey-Newton
11. Surrey-Whalley
12. Vancouver-Hastings
13. Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
14. Victoria-Beacon Hill
15. Victoria-Swan Lake

Probable NDP Seats

1. Cowichan Valley
2. Esquimalt-Royal Roads
3. Fraser-Nicola
4. North Coast
5. Vancouver-Kingsway
6. Vancouver-West End

Battleground Ridings

1. Burnaby-Edmonds
2. Cariboo North
3. Cariboo-Chilcotin
4. Coquitlam-Maillardville
5. Delta North
6. Maple Ridge-Mission
7. Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
8. Nanaimo
9. North Island
10. Port Coquitlam
11. Skeena
12. Stikine
13. Surrey-Fleetwood
14. Vancouver-Fairview
15. Vancouver-Kensington