Given that Kathy Dunderdale is going to re-elected, I see no reason Eva Aariak will not return as the Nunavut premier, Christy Clark has said she is not going for an early election and that Alberta will have a female premier after the next election, we are looking at the longest term of multiple female first ministers in Canadian history. Realistically we will see four female first ministers till May of 2013.
A few months back I ranked the female first ministers, so I thought I would redo that list with Alison Redford.
By time in office - blue indicates currently in office
- Nellie Cournoyea NWT na 4 yrs 8 days
- Catherine Callbeck PEI Lib 3 yrs 259 days
- Eva Aariak NU na 2 yrs 340 days
- Pat Duncan YK Lib 2 yrs 153 days
- Kathy Dunderdale NF PC 303 days
- Rita Johnson BC Socred 218 days
- Christy Clark BC Lib 202 days
- Kim Campbell CDN PC 132 days
- Alison Redford AB PC 0 days
So ranking them by person days in power (time in office multiplied by population)
- Kim Campbell 3,786,000,000
- Christy Clark 893,000,000
- Rita Johnson 715,500,000
- Kathy Dunderdale 154,000,000
- Catherine Callbeck 149,000,000
- Nellie Cournoyea 92,000,000
- Eva Aariak 35,650,000
- Pat Duncan 24,800,000
- Alison Redford 0 (after her first week she passes Pat Duncan and in her second Eva Aariak and in 41 days Catherine Callbeck
Kathy Dunderdale seems more than likely to win her election, so by the time of an election in 2015, she will have been premier for close to 900,000,000 person days. She will also become the longest serving female first minister on December 12th 2014.
Whenever there is an election in Alberta, the premier after the election is either going to be Alison Redford or Danielle Smith of the Wildrose party. Both of them are from the right side of the spectrum which continues the Canadian tendency of female first ministers being on the centre right or right side of the spectrum.
The Federal NDP has a chance to choose a woman to replace Jack Layton. The next leader of the NDP has a moderate chance of becoming Prime Minister, but there do not seem to be any serious female candidates on the horizon.
2 comments:
Interesting column and your point is well taken but 4/14 is over 1/4. It is 28.5%
Yes, you are right, I was thinking 1/4 in my head when there were three and meant to write not 1/3 now that we are at four.
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