Hi, my name is Bernard and I am a political junkie. I get my fix from election days and polls. As much as a I know these polls are not real proper data, it is all I have to go on. It has been six months since I last had a BC poll hit.
Here are the results from Ipsos and Insights West
Party All of BC Metro Van Van Isle Rest of BC
Ipsos Insit Ipsos Insit Ipsos Insit Ipsos Insit
Liberal 42 34 32 37 32 21 44 35
NDP 36 40 39 39 39 52 28 35
Green 10 14 6 13 25 22 9 13
Cons 11 10 10 9 4 5 18 18
Other 1 2 1 2 0 0 2 1
So what can we make of these numbers? First, there is no clear leader, there is a race. Second, the Greens have a measurable strength on Vancouver Island, high enough that more seats are a realistic target. Third, the moribund BC Conservatives have reasonable strength in the interior and north.
The 10% or so support for the BC Conservatives says to me there is a desire by a part of the BC population for an actual right wing party. This number is in my opinion people parking their support. The party has no leader, no media presence and no obvious grass roots organization but it is polling at 10%.
The NDP has good enough numbers that it could win the next election but the polls are not showing the sort of monster lead like in the run up to the 2013 election. I have to wonder if it is seen as a race if more people will come out and vote for the NDP?