I would love to see some analysis of why the other companies all differed from ARS so much, that they over estimated the Liberals and under estimated the NDP.
1 comment:
Anonymous
said...
No ARS was not right. At the time of the ARS poll, the spread was a lot larger - about 10%. The spread got squeezed so that between the ARS poll and 5/12 it dropped from 10 to 4%.
Unless ARS is polling the future - then they have been wrong. At the time of the ARS poll, the spread was not 3% or 2%, it was 10%.
Only few people imagined that the spread would get squeezed so drastically. ARS was just lucky that it got squeezed in their direction. Otherwise, they were way off.
1 comment:
No ARS was not right. At the time of the ARS poll, the spread was a lot larger - about 10%. The spread got squeezed so that between the ARS poll and 5/12 it dropped from 10 to 4%.
Unless ARS is polling the future - then they have been wrong. At the time of the ARS poll, the spread was not 3% or 2%, it was 10%.
Only few people imagined that the spread would get squeezed so drastically. ARS was just lucky that it got squeezed in their direction. Otherwise, they were way off.
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