More UK seat predictions

Here is the list of what I see as the tightest three way races in the election

1. Barrow and Furness – Likely Conservative
2. Batley and Spen - Likely Labour
3. Bedford – Likely Conservative
4. Birimingham Northfield 
5. Blackpool South 
6. Bolton West - Likely Conservative
7. Carlisle – Likely Labour
8. Chatham and Aylesford – Likely Labour
9. Crewe and Nantwich – Likely Conservative
10. Ealing North – Likely Conservative
11. Erewash
12. Halifax
13. Hammersmith 
14. Harrow West
15. Hyndburn 
16. Kingswood
17. Leeds North East
18. Lincoln 
19. Luton North
20. Norwich North
21. Weaver Vale
22. Wirral South

For these 22 seats I predict 10 Conservative, 7 Labour and 5 Liberal Democrat

Liberal Conservative Races in Labour held Seats:

1. Brentford and Isleworth
2. City of Chester 
3. Cleethorpes 
4. Coventry South
5. Dewsbury 
6. Ealing Central and Action
7. Eltham 
8. High Peak
9. Milton Keynes North 
10. Pendle 
11. Tooting

I am going with 7 Conservative and 4 Liberal

Liberal - Labour Close Races

1. Garston and Halewood 
2. Greenwish and Woolwich 
3. Heywood and Middleton
4. Leicester West 
5. Lewisham East
6. Manchester Central
7. Newcastle-under-Lyme 

I am assigning them 4 Liberal Democrat and 3 Labour

Longshot Wins for Liberal Democrats

1. Barking 
2. Barnsley Central 
3. Birmingham Erdington 
4. Birmingham Selly Oak
5. Blackley and Brougton 
6. Brent North
7. Brighton Pavilion 
8. Bury South 
9. Cannock Chase 
10. Darlington
11. Don Valley 
12. Dorset South 
13. Ealing Southall 
14. Hackney South and Shoreditch
15. Hull East 
16. Leeds Central 
17. Oldham West Royton
18. Penistone and Stocksbridge 
19. Redcar 
20. Salford and Eccles 
21. Sheffield Heeley 
22. Slough
23. Stockport
24. Stoke-on-Trent Central 
25. Stole on Trent South 
26. Sunderland Central 
27. Tottenham
28. Tyneside North
29. Warrington South 
30. Wythenshawe and Sale East 

Baring new information, I would expect 1/4 of these seats to fall to the Liberal Democrats - so 8 Liberal Democrat and 22 Labour.

I have not reached 153 seats for the Liberal Democrats without any gains in Scotland or Wales.   I am at Labour losing 160 to 170 seats in England