Sunday, September 2, 2012

PQ drops in popularity and will win government

All the polling has had the PQ at 33% +- 1 percentage point.

This is the percentage the PQ has achieved in each of their elections since the first in 1970

  • 2008 35.17%
  • 2007 28.35% - came third
  • 2003 33.24%
  • 1998 42.87%
  • 1994 44.75%
  • 1989 40.16%
  • 1985 38.69%
  • 1981 49.26%
  • 1976 41.37%
  • 1973 30.22% - came third
  • 1970 23.06% - came third in popular vote and fourth in seats

A result of 33% would be a bad result for the party when compared to the six elections from 1976 to 1998. It is a decrease from the last election but they will win government with that.   They may win the most seats but I really do not see them being able to win a majority, if they were to win a majority this would be unprecedented in the history of Westminster parliaments as far as I can think of.




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