Monday, September 22, 2008

BC Ridings

Of the ridings in BC, I believe that only 10 are at all in question at the moment.

The Conservatives are safe in 20 ridings
The NDP are safe in 6 ridings
The Liberals are now safe in none.

This leaves 10 ridings still in question

Esquimalt Juan de Fuca
This is a race between the NDP and Conservatives. Keith Martin's personal popularity allowed him to squeak back in twice as a Liberal but the tide is so strongly against him that he is being swept out to sea.

At this time I favour the Conservatives.

Vancouver Centre
This is a four way race I would not put money on who will win. If I had to choose, at the moment the Liberals.

Vancouver South
As the Liberal fortunes fail in BC, the riding comes closer and closer to the Conservatives. I still think Liberals will win at the moment.

Burnaby New West
An NDP - Conservative battle that might flip the riding back to the Conservatives. NDP most likely to win.

Vancouver Quadra
The very close by-election means this riding is in play for the Conservatives. Conservatives most likely to win.

Vancouver Island North
Bell v Duncan for the third time. NDP - Conservative battle with everyone else an afterthought. NDP most likely to win.

North Vancouver
A Liberal Conservative battle with the edge to the Conservatives at the moment. Conservatives most likely to win.

New Westminister Coquitlam
Another close NDP Conservative fight. Conservatives most likely to win.

Vancouver Kingsway
A Liberal NDP fight with the NDP gaining the upper hand.

Surrey North
Another NDP - Conservative battle with the Conservatives winning.

BC Results
  • Conservatives - 25
  • NDP - 9
  • Liberals - 2
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