Saturday, February 26, 2011

Christy Clark wins

So the information I gleaned did not show the whole picture of the race.   It is very hard to predict a race where detailed information is hard to access.   Here are some thoughts about the vote:

1) The turn out was very low, only 62.4% - this means a lot of existing members did not vote, likely the majority of the people that were members before the race started.  A large number of the people that signed up also did not vote in the race.   Both of these are bad signs for the party.

2) The MLAs had very little traction with the party membership - this means they are out of touch with the mood of the party membership.

3) Abbott did much worse than I thought he would.   I thought he would have a good lead among existing members, but they seem to have not voted in the race.
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