|Photo taken by Jordan Bateman at the BCCP AGM|
According to the paperwork filed around the by-elections this year the BC Conservatives raised $89,563.44 and spend $60,430.76 between January 1st 2012 and April 19th 2012. This says to me the party should have an extra $29,132.68 in their bank accounts taking their financial resources on April 19th to $144,458.68.
On the weekend at their AGM financial statements were circulated. From January 1st to August 31st the party had raised $199,879.46 but now had a deficit of $20,194.93 for the year. That means in the 133 days from April 20th to August 31st the party raised $110,316.02 or $829.44 per day, only marginaly better than the $814.21 they managed in the first 110 days of the year.
With a deficit of $20,194.93 the party should now be at $95,132 in the bank as of August 31st which is enough to allow them to see the party through to the end of the year, but in a year with two by-elections the fundraising is clearly not where it should be. Yes, political parties take in a lot of their money in December, but that is in a year without an election or a crucial by-election.
When you look above at the numbers there are clearly some major expenses to come in the last four months of the year. I see another $90,000 more in expenses to come out before year end. To hold even the party has to raise more money in the last quarter than it did during the by-elections, I am not sure that is realistic. Even if they have stellar fundraising run, they will still have at more $200,000 to $250,000 in the bank which is not enough to run a major provincial campaign. It is enough money to run serious campaigns in two to three.
Will the recent problems have an impact on the fundraising? I suspect so but not as much as some would think. Given that someone seriously running for MLA will likely spend between $60,000 and $120,000 and they have to raise that money, a fundraising target for a party with 3,000 or so members of only $400,000 is nothing dramatic at all.