Thursday, June 23, 2016

Could the NDP run a focused campaign in 2016 and pick up just enough seats to win?

In 1996 the NDP managed to have a focused campaign to hold enough seats to stay in power. They needed 38 seats and won 39.



Top 13 NDP Target Seats
4 lost to BC Liberals in 2013
Fraser Nicola
Delta North
Surrey Fleetwood
Port Moody Coquitlam
(the NDP also lost Chilliwack Hope to the Liberals, but that was with a victory of almost 20pp)

(pp= precentage points)
9 where NDP was within 10pp
Penticton
Boundary Similkameen
Maple Rigde MIssion 
Maple Ridge Pitt Meadows
Surrey Guildford
Burnaby North
Vancouver Fraserview
North Vancouver Lonsdale
Courtenay Comox

Top 10 Liberal Target Seats
4 lost to the NDP
Burnaby Lougheed
Vancouver Point Grey
Vancouer Fairview
Saanich North and the Islands

6 where Liberals within 10pp
Skeena
North Island
Nanaimo 
Cowichan Valley
Coquitlam Millardville
Burnaby Deer Lake
Burnaby Lougheed

Top 6 Green Target Seats and the margin they need to overcome

Saanich North and the Islands - 1.2pp
Victoria Beacon HIll - 15pp
Cowichan Valley - 21pp
Esquimalt Metchosin - 27pp
Nelson Creston - 30pp
Victoria Swan Lake - 31pp
Post a Comment