Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Canadian Federal Election Prediction - April

I am going to do regular updates on my estimates of how a federal election would look.

I am using multiple polls from the last month and then applying local riding modifiers, here is what I come up with for the fed election if held now. I am not predicting any seats for the Greens because I am not convinced that Elizabeth May can defeat Peter Mackay.

CPC Lib NDP BQ Oth
BC 23 5 8
Alta 28
Sask 13 1
Man 9 2 3
Ont 49 55 2
Que 13 20 0 41 1
PEI 0 4 0
NS 3 6 2
NB 2 7 1
Nfld 2 5
North 0 2 1

TOTAL 142 107 17 41 1
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