- Gary Holman - NDP Saanich North and the Islands - 12118
- Leslie MacNabb - NDP Comox Valley - 11593
- Jessica Van der Veen - NDP Oak Bay Gordon Head - 10736
- Robin Adair - Liberal Saanich South - 10728
The Liberals also had five candidates with more than 10 000 votes on the island. They had 12 in the rest of province.
There were five ridings in BC were the total vote did not break 10 000 voters:
- Peace River South - 7138
- Stikine - 7961
- Nechako Lakes - 8381
- Peace River North - 8440
- North Coast - 8579
- Colin Hansen Liberal - 14920
- Rich Coleman Liberal - 14576
- Gordon Hogg - 14213
The top five ridings for total vote
- Saanich North and the Islands - 27647
- Comox Valley - 27307
- Parksville Qaulicum - 25771
- Oak Bay Gordon Head - 24154
- Cowichan Valley 24116
Vancouver Island has too few MLAs for the number of people that are living here.
This concentration on the island is bad for the NDP, one quarter of their vote province wide was on the Island. The island only represents 16.5% of the seats. On the island the NDP averaged 11541 votes per riding, in the rest of the province it was 6830 votes per riding.
The Liberals got 16.2% of their vote on the Island and averaged 8180 per riding on the island. In the rest of BC the Liberals averaged 8358 votes per riding.
On the Island the NDP has an average 3200 vote advantage over the Liberals, in the rest of the province the Liberals are ahead by 1500 votes.
4 comments:
Great number crunching, Bernard.
I did a bit of my own at http://www.conservatism.ca/
The old "vote-splitting" argument...
You make a good point, but you don't mention that turnout in the North was exceptionally low and that turnout in close Island ridings was exceptionally high.
Turn out in the northern and rural ridings has not been much different than turn out on the Island. The peace had a very low turn out, the some are in the mid 50s and Stikine is at almost 65%.
On the island, 4 ridings were around 63%, the other ten were in the mid 50s.
So I would say things are no worse on the Island than in rural and northern BC
As I said, it's a good point, but it's about eligible voters/riding rather than votes cast/riding. Total votes cast is a function of eligible voters per riding and turnout. The turnout is incidental. In your example, you compared ridings with very high turnout on the Island to ridings with mixed turnout in the North (Stikine was very high, but the Peace Rivers were very low, don't know about North Coast or Nechako) inflates your point.
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