Showing posts with label 2017 Federal Conservative Leadership Race. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2017 Federal Conservative Leadership Race. Show all posts

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Some Ranking of the Conservative Leadership Candidates

There are 12 candidates formally in the race and three more declared, a huge field,  A number of people I know are concerned about Kellie Leitch and considering joining the Conservatives to stop her becoming leader.

To help understand the race I quickly did some ranking of the candidates.

Ranking by relative strength of campaign -  remember this is just my approximation

  1. Kellie Leitch - leading in the polls and has raised the most money
  2. Maxime Bernier - has a strong grassroots organization and is the only real libertarian the race
  3. Andrew Scheer - has the backing of the most MPs
  4. Lisa Raitt - strongest 2nd tier candidate or weakest 1st tier candidae
  5. Erin O'Toole - personable but limited experience in politics
  6. Steven Blaney - not personally popular
  7. Michael Chong - if he catches on with non Conservative members and they join the party support him he could do well.  He is not all that popular with many Conservatives
  8. Chris Alexander - a boringly alright MP
  9. Andrew Saxton - MP from BC.  I am not sure why he is running
  10. Deepak Obhrai - his heart is not in it and really wants Peter McKay to run
  11. Brad Trost - MP going for the very social conservative vote
  12. Dan Lindsay - no idew why he is running
  13. Adrienne Snow - has not yet filed
  14. Pierre Lemieux - has not yet filed
  15. Rick Peterson - has not yet filed - lost the BC Conservative leadership to Dan Brooks which says he can not organize at all

Ranked from most social conservative to least

  1. Pierre Lemieux -  strongly anti abortion
  2. Brad Trost - strongly anti-abortion
  3. Adrienne Snow - a pragmatic social conservative
  4. Kellie Leitch 
  5. Steven Blaney
  6. Rick Peterson - mainly based on an anit immigrant stance but I suspect he is pandering
  7. Andrew Scheer - middle of the pack because I have no idea where he stands on the issues
  8. Dan Lindsay - middle of the pack because I have no idea where he stands on the issues
  9. Andrew Saxton  - middle of the pack because I have no idea where he stands on the issues
  10. Erin O'Toole
  11. Chris Alexander - supports settlement of First Nation treaties and increased immigration but was part the barbaric cultural practices stuff
  12. Lisa Raitt
  13. Deepak Obhrai - supports more immigrants
  14. Michael Chong - supports reform to how parliament works
  15. Maxime Bernier - libertarian
I would rank them on the environment but only Chong seems to have any green creds of any sort.   I am not certain but I think Maxime Bernier, Lisa Raitt  Erin O'Toole and Chris Alexander would not be actively trying to harm the environment.

Here are the candidates someone that is not a conservative might be able to back ordered from best to worst
Michael Chong
Lisa Raitt
Maxime Bernier
Chris Alexander
Deepak Obhai